Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000188 0.000203 0.000219 0.000238 0.000259 0.000281 0.000308
2024-10-13 0.000164 0.000186 0.000211 0.000242 0.000278 0.000322 0.000377
2024-10-20 0.000147 0.000172 0.000201 0.000239 0.000286 0.000343 0.000421
2024-10-27 0.000139 0.000167 0.000200 0.000245 0.000303 0.000378 0.000486
2024-11-03 0.000127 0.000155 0.000190 0.000238 0.000303 0.000389 0.000518
2024-11-10 0.000119 0.000147 0.000184 0.000234 0.000305 0.000404 0.000556
2024-11-17 0.000111 0.000140 0.000177 0.000230 0.000306 0.000415 0.000590
2024-11-24 0.000106 0.000135 0.000174 0.000230 0.000313 0.000435 0.000640
2024-12-01 0.000101 0.000131 0.000170 0.000229 0.000318 0.000453 0.000688
2024-12-08 0.000098 0.000128 0.000169 0.000232 0.000328 0.000480 0.000753
2024-12-15 0.000093 0.000123 0.000164 0.000228 0.000329 0.000491 0.000792
2024-12-22 0.000090 0.000120 0.000162 0.000228 0.000335 0.000511 0.000850
2024-12-29 0.000088 0.000118 0.000162 0.000232 0.000347 0.000544 0.000939
2025-01-05 0.000086 0.000117 0.000162 0.000236 0.000361 0.000582 0.001047
2025-01-12 0.000082 0.000112 0.000158 0.000233 0.000362 0.000597 0.001109
2025-01-19 0.000081 0.000112 0.000159 0.000239 0.000380 0.000644 0.001251
2025-01-26 0.000077 0.000107 0.000153 0.000232 0.000375 0.000647 0.001289
2025-02-02 0.000073 0.000103 0.000149 0.000229 0.000375 0.000659 0.001355
2025-02-09 0.000070 0.000100 0.000145 0.000224 0.000372 0.000667 0.001409
2025-02-16 0.000068 0.000098 0.000143 0.000224 0.000378 0.000693 0.001518
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000095 0.000141 0.000224 0.000383 0.000717 0.001624
2025-03-02 0.000065 0.000094 0.000141 0.000226 0.000394 0.000755 0.001782
2025-03-09 0.000063 0.000092 0.000138 0.000223 0.000393 0.000766 0.001861